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Based on the polling data we have available as well as state by state analysis we predict George W. Bush will defeat Al Gore by 124 electoral votes. PoliticalUSA.com is projecting a Bush victory on Nov. 7 with 331electoral votes while our analysis shows the Vice President receiving only 207 electoral votes.

Bush will win 35 states while Gore will win 14 states and Washington D.C.

Among the closely watched battleground states we are giving the victory to Bush in Florida, Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Washington.

Iowa, Illinois, and Wisconsin will go to Gore.

Brother Jeb will come through and deliver Florida and Governor Engler will do the same in Michigan. Tennessee will vote against it's former son, making this the first time in 28 years that a Presidential hopeful did not win his home state. Missouri will go to Bush, despite the very unique circumstances with the late Governor Mel Carnahan.

 

State EV's Bush Gore Comments
AL 9 9    
AK 3 3    
AR 6 6    
AZ 8 8    
CA 54   54 Union support gives Gore the edge in get-out-the-vote.
CT 8   8 At least Lieberman will win re-election to the Senate.
CO 8 8    
DC 3   3  
DE 3 3    
FL 25 25   Polling under represents Cuban vote.
GA 13 13    
HI 4   4  
IA 7   7  
ID 4 4    
IL 22   22  
IN 12 12    
KS 6 6    
KY 8 8    
LA 9 9    
MA 12   12  
MD 10   10  
ME 4 4    
MI 18 18   They still need those internal combustion engines.
MN 10   10 Close race right to the end.
MO 11 11   Carnahan effect breaking toward Bush.
MS 7 7    
MT 3 3    
NE 5 5    
NV 4   4  
NH 4 4   Republican intensity plays major role here.
NJ 15   15  
NY 33   33  
NM 5 5    
NC 14 14    
ND 3 3    
OH 21 21    
OK 8 8    
OR 7   7 Nader draw not quite enough to swing state.
PA 23 23   Big numbers in coal country offset Philidelphia.
RI 4   4  
SC 8 8    
SD 3 3    
TN 11 11    
TX 32 32    
UT 5 5    
VA 13 13    
VT 3   3  
WA 11 11   Turnout and Nader a factor for Bush.
WV 5 5    
WI 11   11  
WY 3 3    
  538 331 207  

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